Seth Lundy, an All-Big 10 selection as a senior, took a big jump as a senior to reach his shooting upside at Penn State. On the year, Lundy averaged 14.2 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 0.9 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.6 BPG, and 0.9 TOPG on splits of 45/40/81. Below is his full scouting report:
Name: Seth Lundy
Wingspan/ standing reach: 6’10/8’8
Hand size: 9
Pre-draft team: Penn State
Tools: Shooting, frame
- High shooting upside
- Good movement shooter
- Comfortable with reverse layups and both inside/out finishes
- Adequate lateral quickness
- Good rebounder
- Low turnover rate
- Long arms & good frame with an NBA ready body
- Sees open teammates on cuts to the rim or teammates at the rim well
- Impactful defender that was comfortable guarding the opposing team’s best player
- Needs to tighten his handle
- A bit robotic & stiff of movements defensively in isolation at times
- Doesn’t create for others well off the dribble
The big question mark for Seth Lundy is: how real is his jump shooting? These are his year-by-year 3P% and FT%:
Freshman year: 39.1% from 3, 75% from the free throw line
Sophomore year: 32% from 3, 81% from the line
Junior Year: 34.8% from 3, 86.7% from the line
Senior year: 40% from 3, 80.7% from the line
While FT% can be a better indicator for shooting upside than 3P%, Lundy will have to prove that his senior year wasn’t a fluke to NBA teams.
Defensively, Lundy has tools to hold his own, but has struggled with footwork and balance, limiting his on-ball ability. Additionally, he can get absorbed in screens, which will make him a question mark against the NBA’s most commonly run play. In a quicker tempo, Lundy took a dip defensively as a senior. As a junior, he would guard the opposing team’s best player, and helped Penn State’s defense be a top 50 defense. Here is what Dylan Burd of House of Highlights had to say about Lundy’s defense:
“In his junior year he was elite on defense. He shut down nearly everyone in the big ten including Keegan Murray. The team defense was good as a whole that year but he always guarded the best guy.
This year his defense fell off and the team defense was way worse. Not sure if their play style/identity of being more 3 point shooting focused and less defensive oriented changed his mentality and he was worse because of that, or if it was just worse because the team defense wasn’t as good, I’m not really sure.
I think he has it in him to defend at a high level like he did his junior year but it was definitely very on and off this year.”
At the Combine, Lundy had a mixed bag performance on day one. While he found rhythm in some of the drills, he had some room for improvement in the live-game drills. For example, the elite defense of Kevin McCullar, who was selected to be in his group, which made it difficult for him to score against him. He showcased a few reverse finishes, which is something he improved on as a senior at the rim.
In the two days of scrimmages, Lundy found rhythm shooting in a variety of ways, making himself more marketable in front of executives that had never seen him play before. He thrived in a role that replicates what his role will be when he gets onto the floor: a reliable fourth or fifth option that won’t make a bad decision by forcing shots, and can keep the ball moving within the flow of the offense.
The intel on Lundy is strong. When I spoke to him, he talked about the accountability as a senior to improve his three point percentage, shown in the video below. This highlights his work ethic and commitment to improve an area from good to great, and great to elite. He also has a strong desire to win, ultra competitiveness, and an overall clear understanding of goals and how to meet them.
Overall, Lundy will have to prove two things to NBA scouts: high-level shooting that can stick and translate, proving that his senior year was not a one-off, and that he can impact the game without shooting. If the shooting is real, Lundy profiles as a quality depth piece that can serve as an emergency shooter next to a good playmaking core. Lundy would fit well with most NBA teams, being able to provide shooting deep off the bench, potentially as a two-way contract option.
Similar to: Caleb Martin, Alex Abrines, Pat Connaughton
Projected draft range: 40-undrafted
Expected role: Shooter with potential as a defender.
Unplayable if: Jump shot isn’t falling and his defense isn’t impactful enough to stay on the floor, whether it be off-ball rotations or getting beaten at the point of attack.
Exceeds expectations if: Jump shooting translates at a high level, and defense that was found as a junior can translate up to the NBA, making him a positive on both ends most nights.
Miscellaneous Synergy Stats:
Catch & shoot 3s: 73/178 (41%)
Off the dribble jumpers: 37/85 (43.5%)
Half court at the rim: 33/58 (57%)